Israel's goal in the current war

What he says

An English translation of the talk, which is in Persian. It was made with AI from YouTube's automatic captions and may contain errors; the Persian transcript is authoritative. Click a timestamp to jump to that part of the video.

0:01 Hello. It is Monday, 11 Esfand 1404, 2 March 2026. The war that began at dawn on Saturday actually started 24 hours earlier than the schedule the United States and Israel had set. The press is now reporting that the reason was that the Americans learned through their spies that Khamenei would be leaving the bunkers where he was staying and coming to Pasteur for a meeting of the Defense Council, and that he would hold the meeting there. For that reason they decided to launch the attack 24 hours earlier. Within that very first hour, the Americans knocked out what remained of Iran's air defense

1:04 capability, and Israel came over the Leader's compound (the "Beit") and dropped 30 bombs on Pasteur. As a result, that bloodthirsty dictator, the Zahhak of Iran, was killed, along with members of the Supreme Defense Council, as well as many of the staff who worked in his office and some of his family members who were in the compound. But that was only the beginning. After that, on the first day, it was Israel that attacked various sites, and from the second day the United States entered the fighting, its goal being essentially the missile and nuclear sites. The large B-2 bombers and the US Air Force, which has the capacity

2:06 for several hundred, indeed several thousand, sorties a day, are currently busy destroying missile and military sites and so on. The Israelis, however, are going after the various structures of the Islamic Republic. Israel's plan includes striking not only the IRGC but also the Ministry of Intelligence, the police, telecommunications, communications, and many other things. In fact, as it is being said, Israel's strategy is to destroy the structure of the Islamic Republic to such an extent that the people can bring down the regime through their protests, seize government centers, and take Mr. Reza Pahlavi and put him on the throne.

3:08 And if he manages to take power, Israel will thereby gain a government in Iran that is close to it, and indeed indebted to and dependent on it. And if he cannot do this and establish himself in power, then after the destruction of these structures the country will fall into civil war and chaos. In that case, although the smoke will get into the eyes of 93 million Iranians, and likewise the Islamic Republic's neighbors — because in a country where there is anarchy and internal fighting, all sorts of creatures can crawl out — so it is these neighbors who will be caught up in it, Israel, in any case, is 2,000 kilometers away and

4:03 will have no problem. It is being said in Washington — at least since yesterday I have heard — that Mr. Netanyahu has persuaded Mr. Trump to proceed on the basis of this dual strategy, and has even asked that if Trump cannot or does not want to continue, he should let Israel carry on and pursue its own dual strategy. Whereas in the first days, that is, before the attack, Mr. Trump spoke of the war lasting four days, or a week at most, he is now talking about it possibly lasting a month, and

4:56 this appears to be a result of this very agreement with Israel. This is something that, of course, is not accepted, at least by the expert bodies in the United States. In reports they have prepared for the president, they have argued that no government can be toppled through air strikes alone unless you send soldiers and take the country, which is off Mr. Trump's agenda. And the idea that by unraveling all the structures you can bring in and install a government, provided the people support it, is also seriously questioned by the US expert bodies, because they say the situation in Iran

5:55 is such that only a pluralistic option in which everyone is included can be durable; otherwise, the conflicts will intensify. Especially since Mr. Reza Pahlavi's camp and the people who work with him, in the booklets they have published, have effectively closed off in advance the path of cooperation with, for example, Iran's ethnic groups — who in any case make up 48 percent of Iran's population: the Turks, Kurds, Baluch, and Arabs — as well as the various republican factions in Iran and those who do not agree with a monarchy, let alone people who cooperated with this regime

6:53 or stood alongside it. The US expert bodies believe that this kind of approach to politics in Iran will lead to conflict, which might benefit Israel, but the United States, because it bears responsibility, will be drawn in and get bogged down in the region. In any case, although Mr. Trump appears to have this agreement with Mr. Netanyahu, it is Mr. Trump after all, and he may change his mind — just as in these few days, the three days that have passed since the war began, all sorts of things have come out of his statements and every kind of option has been raised.

7:50 But on the Iranian side, the Islamic Republic, because it anticipated that an attack might again take place in the middle of negotiations, as in the 12-day war, had made some preparations in advance. Although Khamenei was caught by surprise and killed — many say he did not expect an air strike in the morning, and his coming to the compound was completely covert and no one knew about it — the other preparations they made included evacuating IRGC and Basij bases in the first hours of the attack, so that if the Israelis or the Americans

8:44 struck, they would be hitting empty buildings; likewise shutting down all communications between units, all electronic communications at various levels, and instead they had previously organized and drilled five-person cells, each with a liaison to the next cell, up to a ceiling of 200 people in each area. It is said they have given weapons to 700,000 Basij members and told them to go home rather than stay at the Basij bases, but, using this same communication method, if it comes to popular protests, to rise up against them with gunfire, with permission to shoot and

9:38 kill, shooting with intent to kill. This is something to which the people, of course — especially young people filled with anger and hatred toward this regime, and wounded by the very massacre of Dey — may respond in kind, and the clashes may spread. On the other hand, the regime immediately tried to form a leadership council. It is said that because Mojtaba Khamenei has also been wounded, and they also expect that whoever they choose as Leader might be killed, as a first step, for as long as the war continues, there is talk of appointing Mr. Ejei as Leader, since Mr. Asghar Hejazi's status is also shrouded in uncertainty — he has either been killed or is seriously

10:38 wounded. In any case, the regime has so far tried to hold itself together, maintain its cohesion, and keep its services going, but continuing the status quo. At the same time, Mr. Ali Larijani, who is the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council and through whom most of the responsibilities for negotiations and the like now pass, is sending messages to the United States via Turkey that they are ready to talk and to activate diplomacy, but the United States has, for now, closed the door to negotiations. In any case, these events — I will not go into the details and the painful incidents, such as the killing

11:35 of girls at a school in Minab, or the hospital on Gandhi Street, and the like — war is a terrifying, horrific monster that throws people's lives into turmoil. Hundreds of thousands of people have headed toward Turkey; Turkey's borders were open, but after a while it closed them. The displacement and hardships, and, if the war continues, shortages of food, medicine, and so on, could put people in ever greater straits. What can be said now is this: in the neighborhoods, first of all — and this is advice Mr. Trump himself has also given — as long as these bombardments and the firing from the sky of missiles, drones, bombs and

12:39 so on continue, people should not come out into the streets, so that they stay safe. More than 60 to 70 percent of the population has left Tehran; people should try to go to safe places. Coming out into the streets is not safe at all. They should not be near barracks or places that are likely to be sites Israel will attack; they should evacuate those areas. In homes, wide tape should be put on the windows so that if a blast wave breaks the glass, it doesn't fly and shatter but falls in place. Also, in each neighborhood — and the young people of the neighborhoods have even practiced this, in various neighborhoods and in informal settlements and so on — they should form committees, both to protect

13:37 the security of the neighborhood — because if the police stations that Israel is striking go, and police security is effectively absent, the people can maintain the security of each area — and also to provide food or medicine and to look after and care for those who have disabilities of one kind or another, such as the sick and the elderly, and who need help. Forming such local committees can be very useful, because mutual aid and cooperation among people is not only useful now, in this period of crisis and war, but later they can also serve as suitable nuclei for the sovereignty of the people. Here's to the victory of Iran and Iranians.