Disabling satellite TV broadcasts, training for war

What he says

An English translation of the talk, which is in Persian. It was made with AI from YouTube's automatic captions and may contain errors; the Persian transcript is authoritative. Click a timestamp to jump to that part of the video.

0:01 Hello. It is Friday, 8 Esfand 1404, February 27, 2026. The nuclear negotiations between Iran and the United States were held in Geneva yesterday in two sessions, morning and afternoon. According to both the Iranian delegation and Mr. Grossi, technical-level negotiations on the technical details are to continue on Monday and possibly Tuesday. Mr. Badr Albusaidi, the foreign minister of Oman, who has come to America, stated today that the Islamic Republic has agreed never to stockpile enriched uranium.

0:59 Mr. Albusaidi also told America's CBS that all the issues related to an agreement could be resolved amicably within three months. The Iranian side, Mr. Araghchi, has spoken very positively, and so has the mediator, Mr. Albusaidi, the foreign minister of Oman. But the American side, Messrs. Witkoff and Kushner, are silent and have not raised anything. It is also interesting that during Mr. Albusaidi's trip, instead of the US Secretary of State, he met with Mr. JD Vance, Mr. Trump's vice president, and

1:57 this shows that the Iran file, the negotiations and the nuclear issue as a whole, is actually being handled in the White House itself. Even though Mr. Marco Rubio is both Secretary of State and National Security Advisor, meaning two of America's expert bureaucracies are under his supervision, this file is in fact being handled over Mr. Marco Rubio's head, in the White House. Yesterday Mr. Trump also had a meeting with the chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff and the commander of CENTCOM, the command under which any military operation would be carried out.

2:51 Of course, there is no news of the details, but Mr. Trump spoke today. He speaks almost every day, of course, and in today's remarks, as usual, he hedged both ways. For example, he said that the Iranian negotiators are bad, that they are bad people, but on the other hand he said he hopes the issue will be resolved through peace and negotiation, while war is also on the table. The International Atomic Energy Agency has also stated that part of the 60-percent enriched uranium is at the UCF facility in Isfahan, a facility that America struck with missiles. For some time now, aerial images have also shown that

3:48 Iran has piled earth at the entrances of the facilities, possibly to prevent a commando raid, and possibly also to protect whatever is there. In any case, it is said that the IAEA Board of Governors will also hold a meeting, and Mr. Grossi's report will be important. Meanwhile, various European countries, Britain and others, have all either closed their embassies or greatly reduced their staff, and have also asked their nationals to leave Iran. Iranian dual nationals who are citizens of these

4:50 countries have also been warned to get out and leave Iran. But the interesting point is that besides the European countries, China, which is a close ally of the Islamic Republic, has also told its nationals to refrain from traveling to Iran and those inside Iran to leave. When we put all this news together, it shows that on the one hand, the talk of continuing negotiations on technical issues indicates that they have at any rate moved forward a stage and entered more detailed phases, so that

5:46 one can conclude from this that it is possible the negotiations are bringing the two sides' positions closer together. But on the other hand, given the silence of the American side, the statements of many senators and members of Congress, the House of Representatives, and so on, the various news networks, and the effect it has had on the oil market, from all of this one can assess the likelihood of war as high. What decision Mr. Trump will make from among the options for war is naturally unknown, but many news sources are talking about an American attack within the next few days, or

6:45 there is even talk that America will attack through Israel and then enter the field to defend Israel. Because the US Congress must authorize war; that is, the power to make war or peace belongs to the US Congress, not the president. The president can go to war without obtaining authorization if America's national security is in danger, but within a month he must get permission from Congress. In any case, if they enter the war through Israel, then the question of congressional authorization and so on doesn't even come up, because for the defense of Israel America has various precedents from Congress over

7:41 past years that leave the president's hands free for a war in which Israel is involved. There is no choice; we have to wait two or three days and see what happens. But taken together, yesterday's and today's news shows, from some angles, progress in the negotiations and movement toward a result, while some other news and analyses show the complete opposite: pessimism about the outcome of the negotiations, the two countries moving away from understanding and agreement, and ultimately war. Now, if Mr. Trump attacks, what kind of war will it be? Will it be limited, targeting parts

8:39 such as the nuclear sites, or will it be broad? What we do know is that there are three options on Mr. Trump's table. And if the Islamic Republic acts on the things it has said and the threats it has made, it doesn't matter whether America chooses the easiest option, the middle one, or the hardest one; if the tension rises, if it escalates, as they say, other things may happen in this war and it may intensify sharply in ways no one can predict right now. But yesterday, the satellites from which Voice of America television, BBC television and Iran International television are broadcast suffered disruption, and in effect satellite television

9:40 in Iran from these three broadcasters was disrupted and cut off. As for why the Islamic Republic did this, it seems to be a rehearsal for war: if a war breaks out, with continued martial-law regulations and possibly cutting off the internet and even mobile phones, just as they did during the massacres, and if they can also filter the satellites and jam them, people will be kept completely in the dark. As for how they do this, the Islamic Republic had already done it once, several times in fact before: they directly fire, or "shoot," powerful waves at

10:35 a frequency close to the frequency of, say, a particular TV channel toward the satellite, and in that case the satellite itself, its other customers, or those close to that frequency suffer disruption. The Islamic Republic first did this from Cuba, which drew a protest from the International Telecommunication Union, which oversees these matters. Then it apparently continued it from Syria or Bulgaria. In any case, after a warning from the global telecommunications body, which told the Islamic Republic that if it continued, these satellites would take down the Islamic Republic's own television and the several other channels it has, it backed off at the time. But

11:30 the fact that it has done this now seems more like a rehearsal for war, and it is possible that if there is a war, who will be there to protest to them or say they will cut off your own television too? The Islamic Republic may just accept the tension and go ahead with cutting off the news of satellite channels. Also, the inflation rate was announced as 68 percent by the Statistical Center and 62 percent by the Central Bank. These two bodies always differ, of course, but what is noteworthy is that this year, when Esfand, or rather Bahman, is compared with the same month last year, on average the price of everything has gone up 68 percent.

12:29 Compared with the previous month, the inflation rate was 9.4 percent, and economists say that if this monthly inflation rate repeats at around this level, by the end of the year inflation will reach three digits. This is the same warning economists have raised repeatedly in recent months: that chronic high inflation of 40 and 50, and now 60 percent, suddenly ends in hyperinflation, as has happened in some countries, and the percentages will grow rapidly. In any case, inflation at this 62 percent level...

13:27 woe to the day it becomes three digits, 100 or 200 and so on. Even at its current level it has put heavy pressure on people's lives in every respect, disrupted economic transactions and investment, and it is a problem for which, of course, with the guardianship of the jurist and the Islamic Republic system in place, there is no hope of improvement. Hoping for the victory of Iran and Iranians.