In Semnan, harassment of an Iranian girl by Iraqi students and people's clashes with them

What he says

An English translation of the talk, which is in Persian. It was made with AI from YouTube's automatic captions and may contain errors; the Persian transcript is authoritative. Click a timestamp to jump to that part of the video.

0:00 Hello. Monday, 16 Shahrivar 1405, September 7, 2026. After Iran fired missiles at two American warships, which, to be clear, did not hit them, on Saturday the US attacked three empty Iranian oil tankers at the Kharg terminal and announced a "ship for ship" policy. That is, if Iran attacks any ship, the US will in turn attack an Iranian ship: ships that belong either to the Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines, to the National Iranian Tanker Company, or possibly to other

0:57 parties. Mr. Hegseth, the US Secretary of Defense, or Secretary of War, the new name they've given it, threatened Iran with this policy, and Mr. Ghalibaf in turn has threatened the US with attacks on the facilities of American oil and gas companies in the region. Meanwhile, a Qatari delegation went to Tehran again today, and they have announced that they are working to resume peace talks and mediate. The spokesman for Qatar's Foreign Ministry also said something important: he said the Iran war showed that the Arab states of the Persian Gulf must not rely solely on strategic cooperation with the United States

1:59 for their security. Taken together, these events show that tension in the Strait of Hormuz, the Persian Gulf and southern Iran is still continuing, and the state of no war, no peace, or better put, both war and peace, still holds. The world is following this too. The price of oil rose again today, with a barrel of North Sea oil reaching $97.50, and Kpler, which tracks ships, announced today, Monday, that over the past 10 days an average of only 10 commodity ships per day

2:54 (which includes cargo ships, oil tankers, gas carriers and so on) have passed through the Strait of Hormuz. According to Kpler, this is the lowest figure since the month of Ordibehesht. It got to the point that on Saturday only two ships and on Sunday only six ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz. Reuters also reported that Matt Smith at Kpler said, based on this same tracking, that the exit of large oil tankers from the Strait of Hormuz has practically stopped. But in Iran, too, the continuation of this situation caused the price of the dollar on the open market today to pass 227

3:52 thousand tomans per dollar. In fact, the Iranian economy's process of severe stagflation is accelerating toward hyperinflation. This is an issue in which one of the important factors is the velocity of money circulation. As economists tell us, the velocity of money multiplied by the money supply, that is, V times M, equals the general price level, P, multiplied by real gross domestic product, or Y. In fact, the simple formula

4:45 of economics, which is very clear, says V times M equals P times Y. If we put real numbers into this formula, the numbers the country's official statistics have announced for the year 1404 show that velocity, V, which acts like a multiplier for inflation, was 2.9. That is, each unit of money circulated 2.9 times, nearly three times, a year. But this year, so far, by the regime's own figures, the estimate for this number, which of course cannot yet be stated definitively,

5:40 has passed 3.5 and approached 4, meaning each unit has circulated four times. How does this happen? When people lose trust in the national currency, that is, Iran's toman, Iran's rial, and, uh, believe in it so little that, like a hot potato, they toss it somewhere else and don't hold on to it, then in the shortest possible time the rials that come into their hands, whether savings in the bank or the salary they receive, they either convert into goods, spending them immediately, or they take them and convert them into other assets such as gold, foreign currency

6:33 and products and so on. Or there has been something of a rush into the stock market, because, after all, the companies on the stock exchange own property, they own land, they have assets, and they are more or less like real estate, real estate that can also pay dividends. There, too, a large inflow of liquidity, so-called cash, has entered the market, which has also heightened the danger of a stock market bubble. This process, that is, the speeding up, the acceleration of the velocity of money circulation, which in fact acts like a multiplier for inflation, is one of the important factors that drives

7:30 the escalation of inflation and intensifies the movement toward hyperinflation. It is the same mechanism that can be observed in countries that have suffered hyperinflation, such as Venezuela, Zimbabwe, Russia after the fall of the Soviet Union, or Germany after World War I, or other examples, to some extent Yugoslavia, Hungary and so on. Moreover, in Iran, if we go back to that same formula, velocity times the money supply equals the general price level times the country's gross domestic product, then on the other side, apart from the increase in velocity,

8:26 the money supply is also increasing. That is, if at the end of the year 1404 the country's money supply was more than 15,000 thousand billion tomans, now there is talk that it is crossing the 20,000 thousand billion toman mark, and by the end of the year the figure may pass 30,000 thousand billion tomans. And on the other side, the country's output has also fallen in all sectors: in industry, especially in mining, in services; except agriculture, which has perhaps increased slightly, output has fallen in the other sectors. In fact, the country's gross domestic product growth has been estimated at anywhere from minus 1% to,

9:23 according to the International Monetary Fund's forecast, more than minus 5 or 6%. So the decline in output and the increase in the money supply have compounded the problem and pushed up the velocity of circulation among the people. The result is that prices keep rising. This process, which, according to economists, can suddenly gain more momentum, with each factor intensifying the others, is also a process that leads to hyperinflation and will unleash huge waves that will in effect drown all the people, including the regime's forces of repression.

10:19 Here the government has no choice but to cut its expenses, raise its revenues, and it is forced to put even more pressure on the people. For example, tonight the plan is that, with 60 liters of gasoline at 1,500 tomans and 50 liters of gasoline at 3,000 tomans, 110 liters in total, gasoline above that will go from 5,000 tomans per liter to 10,000 tomans. Some gas stations were reported to have had lines, because it was the last chance to fill up with 5,000-toman gasoline. But from midnight tonight, in effect from the early hours of tomorrow, Tuesday, the free-market rate of gasoline goes up, which

11:14 in previous cases, as in the year [13]98, led to protests. Meanwhile, at Semnan University, a clash broke out between more than 150 people, local residents, and Iraqi students, a few Iraqis. After it was reported on social media that several Iraqi students were trying to forcibly take an Iranian girl into their dormitory, people gathered, a clash broke out, and they gave them a thorough beating. They attacked the Iraqi students' dormitory; people consider them to be members of the Hashd al-Shaabi [Popular Mobilization Forces], people who are in league with the Islamic Republic and were given student scholarships as a reward.

12:09 These are things the people said. In any case, the president of Semnan University said that no Iranian student was involved and that the clash took place outside the university, so it is a matter for the judiciary. The Semnan judiciary also said that two main perpetrators have been identified, and the Iraqi embassy has sent a delegation to Semnan to look into the matter. The remarks of Mr. Hassan Rouhani, which we mentioned in the previous program, in which, on the one hand, he said that the continuation of the war should in a way be put to a referendum and the people should be asked, and, on the other hand, he had criticized state radio and television, were met today and yesterday with harsh responses

13:03 from the IRGC's media outlets. The Fars and Tasnim news agencies and the Javan website attacked Mr. Rouhani. In one piece, the Javan website even called Messrs. Khatami, Rouhani, Mahmoud Sariolghalam, Mehdi Hashemi and Hossein Marashi "scarecrows at the harvest" and said they had divided up the work among themselves and colluded with one another. With hope for the victory of Iran and Iranians.