Internet Restoration, Recurring Threats from the Ministry of Intelligence

What he says

An English translation of the talk, which is in Persian. It was made with AI from YouTube's automatic captions and may contain errors; the Persian transcript is authoritative. Click a timestamp to jump to that part of the video.

0:01 Hello. It is Wednesday, 6 Khordad 1405, May 27, 2026. Despite the exchange of fire in the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, and the subsequent US attack on missile bases on Iran's southern coast, in Bandar Abbas, and on the runway of Bandar Abbas airport, negotiations between Iran and America are continuing. In fact, it seems both sides prefer to turn a blind eye, so to speak, and get the job done, to the point that the Islamic Republic has not even made much noise, apart from a threatening statement

0:57 that if there is a violation of the ceasefire, a violation of the UN Charter, and things like that. They have not even made much of the names of those killed; they are not announcing them, so that the negotiations can reach a result. It seems that the negotiations, as I said before, have gotten somewhat stuck on the money clause. Islamic Republic TV also put forward a four-point text, saying that this is what the memorandum of understanding looks like: for example, $12 billion now, within 60 days, it goes like this; arrangements for the Strait of Hormuz will be made by agreement between Iran and Oman; and other items. But the White House strongly denied it

1:55 and said these claims are utter lies. Qatar, which is now the mediator, was also involved: it was said that the Iranian delegation, that is, Mr. Ghalibaf, Mr. Araghchi and Mr. Hemmati, who went to Qatar, wanted to have $12 billion released, but Qatar said there was no such thing. In any case, these points remain ambiguous. But what seems certain is that it has been agreed that, for now, a memorandum of understanding will be signed for 60 days, so that for the next 60 days there will be neither war nor clashes, and these 60 days will be extendable,

2:50 so that there is an opportunity to discuss the nuclear issue or other matters. America too, if Mr. Trump's words are the yardstick, has accepted that the 400 kilos of 60% enriched uranium will not be taken by America, but will either have its purity reduced inside Iran or be transferred to another country, probably Russia. These are, of course, the broad outlines of the ideas. Iran insists that it has $24 billion of blocked money, half of which must be released now and the other half at the end of the negotiations and the signing of the agreement. But

3:44 what Qatar holds is that same $6 billion from South Korea. In any case, these points, the dispute over money or the Strait of Hormuz, and the other matters being mentioned, seem to be the disagreements that need to be resolved. Mr. Trump also held a meeting with his entire cabinet today. It was supposed to be at Camp David, which is outside Washington, in the state of Maryland, in the mountains; it is actually the mountain retreat of the US president. But it was announced that no, the meeting was at the White House itself. And again, of course, Mr. Trump came out of this meeting and said the same things he always says, but news agencies said the focus of the meeting was reports on this war with Iran and the process

4:39 of peace and matters like that. In any case, we have to wait and see what happens and how it proceeds. But it seems that both sides, with Mr. Trump under pressure and the Islamic Republic under pressure, are in fact entirely inclined for the negotiations to reach some outcome so that war does not break out again, although Israel may not want that. Meanwhile, the Ministry of Intelligence has published a statement. This is a ministry whose minister, Mr. Khatib, was killed in this recent war, and which is currently being run by an acting head. But

5:36 it is a statement that shows they have learned nothing, and no lesson from the circumstances and no innovation whatsoever can be seen in it. Even the words are repetitive. The regime's overarching strategy remains what it was: creating fear, terror, intimidation and threats so that people freeze, become paralyzed, and do not even think about opposing or protesting. They are moving along that same line. In any case, in this statement the Ministry of Intelligence says that the enemy is waging a hybrid war against us on seven fronts, the same words that have been repeated for 47 years. The fronts of this hybrid war are the economic problems, in short, the shortages and high prices, in case

6:36 people protest; the entry of weapons; the entry of Starlink, which, interestingly, has also become part of the hybrid war; terrorism, sending terrorists into Iran and terrorist operations; foreign-based media, which this report calls accomplices of Zionism and America and so on, as part of this same hybrid war; the northwestern borders, meaning the borders of Kurdistan, and the southeastern borders, meaning the borders of Baluchistan, are another part of this so-called hybrid war; and things like that. The solution this statement offers is, once again, to resort to repression and the like, without considering that if the root of the problem

7:34 is not resolved, if the people's discontent in its various dimensions is not addressed and remedied, the country will always be in a state of crisis, and any small incident can lead to widespread protests. This is especially true of the economic situation, which we have talked about before. My interpretation is that an economic tsunami is on its way, because deep-rooted crises in Iran's economy are arriving all at once, and it is so big that the regime cannot stop it with the approaches it is pursuing. Briefly, the six crises

8:26 are as follows. The production crisis: according to the Ministry of Industry, Mine and Trade, more than 300 factories have been damaged. But it was not only that 300 factories were damaged; the production chain, both in the industrial sector and even in the agricultural sector, has run into trouble, and the decline in production fuels both inflation and recession, layoffs and unemployment. The second problem is the state of people's livelihoods, which are under severe pressure because of these issues. The seven lowest income deciles of society

9:21 are under pressure. There is triple-digit inflation, at least on people's consumer goods and basic necessities, and economists warn it may even become four-digit and that we may witness the currency collapsing at high speed. There is a recession of minus 6 to 10 percent, as forecast by the International Monetary Fund. There is the corruption of the corrupt networks within the regime, which compete with each other, eye each other jealously, and undercut one another. And there is the management crisis the Islamic Republic has had, whose disarray has grown with Khamenei's death; in fact, it is a management

10:16 that is incapable of handling it. Hope for the future, the belief that tomorrow will be better, so that investment can move and people can engage in business with confidence, is the last element of the crisis, which compounds the problem. The combination of these six crises is probably bringing an economic tsunami with it, whose intensity will steadily increase over the next month or two, sending high waves. This is something that threats from the likes of the Ministry of Intelligence, saber-rattling and the like cannot solve. As I said before, immediately the seven lowest income deciles of society, who number nearly 70 million Iranians,

11:17 must be given assistance, with each household receiving the equivalent of $300 a month, because the currency is going to collapse, either in the form of goods or in the form of ownership tokens in the institutions under the supervision of the Leader and the IRGC, because more than $200 billion of the nation's wealth has been unjustly seized and accumulated there. In this way, people could be helped to get through this situation; nothing will be achieved with threats and intimidation and the like. But finally, after 88 days, the internet has started to come back since yesterday, and especially today. According to NetBlocks, about 86% of the country's internet has returned to its previous level, but it has not yet returned to

12:15 what it was before Dey 1404. And of course the VPN market is still booming, because the filtering, which some have jokingly said makes it not the internet but the "filternet," is very much in force. People need to buy VPNs, many of which are in the hands of the regime itself, its insiders, and the same corrupt gangs involved in selling VPNs, so that they can carry on their businesses and their lives using the internet. Hoping for the victory of Iran and Iranians.